The 2017 Academy Awards are upon us and it's sometimes hard to enjoy the show when you haven't seen a lot of the movies that are nominated. Luckily this year the nominated films encompass a wide array of genres, but it's still difficult to get out and see all of them. That's what Film Comet is here for. I've seen most of the films nominated and there's a lot overlap between categories, plus I am pretty involved in the movie sphere so I know the general landscape of this year's Awards and each category. This is a guide to the show. I think this article will help everyone who hasn't seen all the films enjoy the show a lot better. I've seen the following films:
-Arrival
-Lion
-La La Land
-Hell or High Water
-Moonlight
- Fences
-Hidden Figures
-Manchester by the Sea
-Captain Fantastic
-Loving
-Nocturnal Animals
First, some information about the show:
When: Sunday, February 26th at 8:30 PM EST. Red carpet coverage begins at 7 PM.
Where to watch: The Oscars are televised on ABC. You can use a cable subscription to watch online on ABC.com and there will be plenty of other live streams out there.
Now, to the categories, starting with Best Picture.
Best Picture
The Favorite: La La Land
The Runner-Up: Moonlight
The Upset: Manchester by the Sea
La La Land is the big favorite to win Best Picture. Disregarding the fact that Hollywood loves movies about Hollywood, La La Land is a critical and audience favorite that's a ton of fun and an overall cinematic feat thanks to the direction by Damien Chazelle(who we'll get to in a bit). It will be a shocker for sure if La La Land doesn't win, but Moonlight has been gaining a lot of momentum. I don't think it'll be enough, but Moonlight is definitely the 2nd most likely pick to win. Manchester by the Sea probably has the 3rd best likelihood of winning, but its chances are still slim to none. La La Land should, and probably will, be the winner of Best Picture.
Best Director
The Favorite: Damien Chazelle(La La Land)
The Runner-Up: Barry Jenkins(Moonlight)
The Upset: Denis Villenueve(Arrival)
Another pretty much surefire lock for La La Land to win, Damien Chazelle's direction of La La Land absolutely is the most integral and likely the most impressive part of the film. You can tell that Chazelle was so inspired to make this film and was truly a master behind the camera during the production. Barry Jenkins has an outside shot for Moonlight, as his direction was also phenomenal, but La La Land will likely win this. Arrival could be an upset pick, as Denis Villenueve was the true star of that film, but it's likely not enough to top La La Land or Moonlight. Expect for Damien Chazelle to win his first Oscar Sunday night, and deservedly so.
Best Actor
The Favorite: Denzel Washington(Fences) and Casey Affleck(Manchester by the Sea)
The Runner-Up: Whichever of the above two that doesn't win
The Upset: Ryan Gosling(La La Land)
This one is an absolute toss-up and an exhibition in different acting styles. Denzel Washington's portrayal of Troy Maxson was undeniably one of the best of the year, he plays a somewhat bitter father in the 50's whose heart is in the right place but makes the wrong decisions. A truly lead performance, Washington has years of experience playing Maxson on broadway and it shows here. On the other hand, Casey Affleck plays a broken and damaged man who endures a horrific tragedy and fights to defeat his own demons in the wake of adversity. Washington's performance is loud and boisterous, while Affleck's is more nuanced and toned-down. If I had to pick, I would say Denzel Washington's performance was a tad better but I could feasibly see either of these men taking the Oscar. Ryan Gosling is likely in third but there's no way one of these two men don't win Sunday night.
Best Actress
The Favorite: Emma Stone(La La Land)
The Runner-Up: Isabelle Huppert(Elle)
The Upset: Natalie Portman(Jackie)
This is likely the toughest category to pick. Natalie Portman was a shoe-in to win as her performance as Jackie Kennedy was acclaimed by nearly everyone, but then Emma Stone burst onto the scene as Mia Dolan in La La Land. Then to throw a monkey wrench in things, Isabelle Huppert, a French actress, won Best Actress at several other awards shows. The race is likely between Stone and Huppert, but Portman still has an outside shot of taking home gold. This is the closest race of any.
Best Supporting Actress
The Favorite: Viola Davis(Fences)
The Runner-Up: Michelle Williams(Manchester by the Sea)
The Upset: Naomie Harris(Moonlight)
On the other hand, this is probably the most sure-fire lock of any. Viola Davis will win this category and should win this category even though her performance opposite Denzel Washington likely should have been a lead actress. Michelle Williams had a haunting performance in Manchester by the Sea, but Viola Davis was hands down the best actress out there this year and deserves recognition for it.
Best Supporting Actor
The Favorite: Mahershala Ali(Moonlight)
The Runner-Up: Dev Patel(Lion)
The Upset: Lucas Hedges(Manchester by the Sea)
Mahershala Ali had hands down the most breakout year of anyone, he had great roles in Luke Cage and House of Cards on Netflix, then had a phenomenal performance in Hidden Figures and topped it all of with the best performance of his career in Moonlight. Ali's performance is so integral to that film and should definitely be appreciated. Dev Patel was phenomenal in Lion, and Lucas Hedges had a breakout role in Manchester by the Sea, but this is definitely Mahershala Ali's award to lose.
Best Original Screenplay
The Favorite: Manchester by the Sea
The Runner-Up: La La Land
The Upset: Hell or High Water
As much as I would love to see Hell or High Water get some recognition Sunday night, this is most certainly a two-horse race between Manchester by the Sea and La La Land. I have a sneaking suspicion that the Academy will award Kenneth Lonergan for his outstanding work on the screenplay for Manchester by the Sea especially if it doesn't win best picture or any other awards. La La Land certainly has a strong shot at it too though, so this should be an interesting one to watch.
Best Adapted Screenplay
The Favorite: Moonlight(Adapted from In Moonlight Black Boys Look Blue by Tarell Alvin McCraney)
The Runner-Up: Lion(Adapted from A Long Way Home by Saroo Brierley and Larry Buttrose)
The Upset: Arrival(Adapted from Story of Your Life by Ted Chiang)
This is a category with a lot of really great adaptations. I'd love to see Lion or Arrival get some recognition here but I think Moonlight will take it. It's such an applicable movie to today's cultural climate and I think that will be appreciated by voters. Moonlight should definitely win this category and I'd be pretty surprised if it didn't.
Other Categories
These categories are ones that will be presented early on in the show and don't really require a ton of explanation. I'll just post my predictions of what will win for them.
Best Animated Film: Moana
Best Foreign Language Film: A Man Called Ove (Haven't seen any but this is what is getting a lot of buzz)
Best Feature Documentary: O.J. Made in America
Best Short Subject Documentary: The White Helmets
Best Live Action Short Film: Sing(not the animated movie that came out in December)
Best Animated Short Film: Piper(The one attached to Finding Dory)
Best Original Score: La La Land
Best Original Song: "City of Stars" from La La Land
Best Sound Editing: Hacksaw Ridge
Best Sound Mixing: La La Land
Best Production Design: La La Land
Best Cinematography: La La Land
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Star Trek Beyond
Best Costume Design: Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Best Film Editing: La La Land
Best Visual Effects: The Jungle Book
As you can see, La La Land is likely to have a big night and clean up a lot of the more technical categories(Cinematography, sound mixing, film editing, etc.) The best picture favorite likely won't set the record for wins, but it will still have an amazing night nonetheless.
The Oscars are one of my favorite nights of the year and I hope this helps others be able to appreciate the show a little more. Thank you for reading and enjoy the show tomorrow!